I mentioned earlier that it’s too soon to take one model’s depiction of a nice warm-up in a couple of weeks to the bank . . . and, just like that, the next run of that model has erased the projections of that warm-up. Poof, gone, as if it never existed.

Meanwhile, model output statistics from the 12z GFS suggest a low of 7 degrees for the northern Cumberland Plateau next Friday morning after a high of just 28 on Thursday afternoon. It’s rare this time of year to see temps fail to climb above the “hard freeze” range, and that projected low of 7, if it were to pan out, would be getting close to the record low (3, set in 1980) for the date.